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What Went Wrong?

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First of all, LAist apologizes for not getting our election story in–we were out at various election night parties to all hours and didn’t have time to write anything.

The obvious story to write about is the rematch: Hahn vs. Villaraigosa, Part II. But we’ll be able to talk about that for the next ten weeks. For now, the most interesting question for the City’s political insiders is where Hertzberg went wrong on his campaign, what could have happened or might have happened differently, and where he goes from here.

The top three finishers ended up as follows: Villaraigosa, 33.07%, 124,561 votes; Hahn 23.68%, 89,189 votes; Hertzberg 22.15%, 83,420 votes. So while Villaraigosa won handily, as most consultants expected, Hahn edged Hertzberg by a relatively tiny fraction of 6,000 votes. So what was to blame for Hertzberg’s failure?

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LAVoice has been hosting a discussion (see the comments) on “How Hertzberg failed.” We think many of their points are correct; see blogger AverageJoe’s comments in particular for an intelligent breakdown of the Council District results. To summarize, while Hertzberg led in his major targeted areas: CD-3 and CD-12 (the West Valley) and CD-5 (Encino and the eastern Westside, the most heavily Jewish area of the City), in other sections of the City he got almost no support whatsoever. Blogger Jzasloff retorts that Hertzberg intended to get half the Valley and half the Westside, and not focus on the rest of the City, and places the blame on Hertzberg’s Get Out The Vote efforts, which, if stronger, might have provided the difference.