Brown Leads Whitman by 13 Points in LA Times/USC Poll, Whitman Camp Says Poll is Skewed
As noted in Sunday's edition of Extra, Extra, gubernatorial candidate Democrat Jerry Brown is leading Republican opponent Meg Whitman 52% to 39%, according to the latest LA Times/USC poll, which was released this weekend. The poll, conducted by two firms -- one Democrat and one Republican -- surveyed 1,501 California voters, of which 922 were likely voters. The margin of error is 3.2 points, but widens when subgroups are examined.
Whitman, however, was quick to send out her own campaign analysis of the poll and cited something that's often brought up in comment sections of LAist posts about polls: it assumes too many Democrats will show up to vote.
"The Times poll obliterates the model from the last mid-term election and skews significantly toward a Democrat wave-like '08 turnout model," a statement from the former eBay CEO's camp read. "Specifically, The Times is assuming a +5% Democrat tilt over the '06 mid-term turnout. Obviously any rational observer and pollster would find that ignorant of what is occurring with the electorate."