The Brief

An official homeless count captured just 68% of the unsheltered population in three key city of L.A. neighborhoods this year, according to a RAND Corporation report released today.

RAND researchers also found the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority's annual count decreased in accuracy over the past two years.

The Santa Monica-based think tank conducts its own professional count in Skid Row, Venice and Hollywood. Despite its assertion of a LAHSA undercount, the RAND report shows homelessness declining in the areas it surveys in recent years — a trend LAHSA has reported across the region.

LAHSA’s official count in those Los Angeles neighborhoods previously had aligned with RAND’s own estimates, but a 26% undercount emerged in 2024 and widened to 32% this year, RAND found.

"In 2022 and 2023, at least in the areas where we count, the [Point-in-Time count] was, as far as I can tell, excellent,” said Louis Abramson, lead author of the RAND report. “I don't know what has happened afterwards."

LAHSA's potential undercounts coincide with a rise in “rough sleepers,” who live outside without the protection of a vehicle, tent or makeshift dwelling.

L.A. increasingly has removed tent encampments through programs such as Inside Safe. That has meant rough sleepers and vehicle dwellers — both harder to count accurately — have become a larger share of the homeless population.

“It used to be that the easiest-to-count population was also the dominant population,” Abramson said. “So if you were getting the tent dwellers right, you were probably getting the needs right. But  if more of your population is rough sleeping, this is going to be a problem.”

The official undercount varied significantly by neighborhood, RAND found. Hollywood's official tally captured 81% of what RAND found. Skid Row's was just 61% accurate. Venice fell in between — at 76%.

“The places with the highest needs are becoming the very places where the county's official count is most underestimated,” the report states.

LAHSA Chief Executive Gita O’Neill said she hadn’t seen RAND’s report yet but hopes to compare notes. O’Neill said she welcomes more counts by researchers, school districts or neighborhoods — and called the annual count vital but “not the last word on understanding homelessness in our region.”

She added that RAND could get more involved.

“We would also encourage volunteering by expert RAND team members to assist with future counts in the neighborhoods they’ve studied,” O’Neill said. “Other areas, like Beverly Hills, that conduct their own monthly counts volunteer each year.”

A chart from RAND's report shows the discrepancy between its numbers (labeled as LA LEADS) and LAHSA's (labeled as PIT, for point in time).

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RAND Corporation

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Why it matters

If a fix isn’t made, the RAND report warns, LAHSA’s flawed counts threaten to misdirect hundreds of millions in funding.

The official count’s results determine how more than $300 million in federal and local dollars flow across L.A. County each year.

That includes $220 million from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and about $96 million allocated to cities under L.A. County’s Measure A sales tax to fund homeless services.

If count accuracy varies dramatically by neighborhood, some cities could receive 30% more funding per unsheltered person than others, according to the report.

The 2024 and 2025 discrepancies in RAND’s report also raise questions about reported declines in homelessness.

City officials have celebrated two consecutive years of declining homelessness, reporting a drop of approximately 2,300 unsheltered people this year.

If the pattern RAND researchers observed holds across Los Angeles, up to 7,900 people and dwellings may be missing from the city's most recent count, according to the report.

The RAND data covers about 10% of the city of L.A.’s unsheltered population in three neighborhoods. LAHSA's Point-in-Time count is countywide and mandated by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development. It relies on thousands of local volunteers.

Since 2022, L.A.'s lead homelessness agency has used a mobile app plagued by repeated technical issues. After last year’s count, LAHSA officials said issues with the app “increased doubts and concerns about the technology and reliability of the data.”

A straightforward fix?

This isn’t the first time the accuracy of L.A.’s official homeless count has come into question.

A 2017 Economic Roundtable report found L.A.’s homeless count lacked reliable year-to-year comparability because of inconsistent methods and data collection across different counts.

LAist reported in June that LAHSA’s inconsistent data processing policies during 2024’s count led to more volunteer observations being discarded within the city of L.A. than the previous year.

RAND’s report adds new concerns, but the think tank also offers a solution. It says LAHSA should deploy professional field teams to independently cross-check volunteer counts during the annual tally.

These teams would survey selected census tracts on the same night as volunteers, and those professional results could then be used to adjust the volunteer counts across the city.

If they found, say, 20% more people than volunteers did in a representative sample of neighborhoods, LAHSA could make statistical corrections citywide. The professionals wouldn't need to cover all 2,800-plus census tracts that volunteers survey.

"You don't need a huge number of these teams," Abramson said. "It's not that expensive in general."

These teams may be fundable through L.A. County’s Measure A, the RAND report points out.

The RAND report calls the fix "one of the easy wins" in homelessness policy.

This story first appeared on The LA Local.

Since 1977, Richard Santillan has been to every Opening Day game at Dodger Stadium. 

“The tradition goes from my father, to me, to my children and grandchildren. Some of my best memories are with my father and children here at Dodger Stadium,” Santillan told The LA Local, smiling under the shade of palm trees near the entrance to the ballpark Wednesday morning. He was there to protest the team less than 24 hours before Opening Day.

Santillan, like countless other loyal Dodgers fans, is grappling with his fan identity over the team’s decision to accept an invitation to the White House and owner Mark Walter’s ties to ICE detention facilities.

More than 30 people joined Santillan on Wednesday morning for a press conference held near 1000 Vin Scully Drive to convey a message directly to the team. 

“We are demanding the Dodgers stop participating in funding of inhumane treatment of families and do not go to the White House to celebrate with the criminal in chief,” Evelyn Escatiola told the crowd. “Together, we have the power to make a change.”

Escatiola, a former dean of East Los Angeles College and longtime community organizer, urged fans to flex their economic power by “letting the Dodgers know that we do not support repression.”

Jorge “Coqui” Rodriguez, a lifelong Dodgers fan, spoke to the crowd and called on Dodgers ownership to divest from immigration detention centers owned and operated by GEO Group and CoreCivic.

Jorge Coqui H Rodriguez speaks at a press conference outside Dodger Stadium on March 25, 2026, to demand the Dodgers not to visit the White House following their 2025 World Series win.

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J.W. Hendricks

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The LA Local

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In a phone interview a day before the protest, Rodriguez told The LA Local he did not want the Dodgers using his “cheve” or beer money to fund detention centers. 

“They can’t take our parking money, our cacahuate money, our cheve money, our Dodger Dog money and invest those funds into corporations that are imprisoning people. It’s wrong,” Rodriguez said. 

Rodriguez considers the Dodgers one of the most racially diverse teams and said the players need to support fans at a time when heightened immigration enforcement has become more common across L.A.

The team’s 2025’s visit to the White House drew ire from the largely Latino fan base, citing the Trump administration’s ongoing attacks on immigrants. 

In June, the team came under further scrutiny when rumors swirled online that federal immigration agents were using the stadium’s parking, which immigration authorities later denied in statements posted on social media accounts.

The team again came under fire after not releasing a statement on the impacts of ICE raids on its mostly Latino fan base at the height of immigration enforcement last summer. The team later agreed to invest $1 million to support families affected by immigration enforcement.

When he learned the Dodgers were pledging only $1 million to families in need, Rodriguez called the amount a  “slap in the face.” 

“These guys just bought the Lakers for billions of dollars and they give a million dollars to fight for legal services? That’s a joke,” Rodriguez said. “They need to have a moral backbone and not be investing in those companies.”

According to reporting from the Los Angeles Times, former Dodgers pitcher Clayton Kershawsaid last week that he is looking forward to the trip.

“I went when President [Joe] Biden was in office. I’m going to go when President [Donald] Trump is in office,” Kershaw said. “To me, it’s just about getting to go to the White House. You don’t get that opportunity every day, so I’m excited to go.”

The Dodgers have yet to announce when their planned visit will take place. 

Santillan sometimes laments his decision to give up his season tickets in protest of the team. His connection to the stadium and the memories he has made there with family and friends will last a lifetime, he said. On Thursday, he will uphold his tradition and be there for the first pitch of the season, but with a heavy heart.

“It’s a family tradition, but the Dodgers have a lot of work to do,” he said.

A local favorite mom-and-pop bookshop in Eagle Rock is facing displacement due to a steep rent hike. The owners say theirs is just one of several small businesses along Eagle Rock Boulevard struggling to keep up with lease increases.

Over the past 19 years, many in the neighborhood have come to love READ Books for its eclectic collection of used titles and shop dog Florence.

Co-owner Jeremy Kaplan said it’s been a delight to grow with the community over the years.

“Like seeing kids come back in, who were in grade school and now they’re in college,” Kaplan said.

But the building where Kaplan and wife Debbie rent was recently sold, and the rent increased by more than 130% to $2,805 a month, Kaplan said. He told LAist it was an increase his small business simply could not absorb.

Kaplan said he originally was given 30 days notice of the rent increase. After some research, assistance from Councilmember Ysabel Jurado’s office and some pro-bono legal help, Kaplan said he pushed back and got the 90-day notice he’s afforded by state law.

California Senate Bill 1103 requires landlords to give businesses with five or less employees 90 days’ notice for rent increases exceeding 10%, among other protections.

Systems Real Estate, the property management company, did not immediately respond to LAist’s request for comment.

What can small businesses do? 

Nadia Segura, directing attorney of the Small Business Program at pro bono legal aid non-profit Bet Tzedek said California law does not currently allow for rent control for commercial tenancies.

Outside of the protections under SB 1103, Segura said small businesses like READ Books don’t have much other recourse. And even then, commercial landlords are not required to inform their tenants of their protections under the law.

“There’s still a lot of people that don’t know about SB 1103. And then it’s very sad that they tell them they have these rent increases and within a month they have to leave,” Segura said.

She said her group is seeing steep rent hikes like this for commercial tenants across the city.

“We are seeing this even more with the World Cup coming up, the Olympics coming up. And I will say it was very sad to see that also after the wildfires,” Segura said.

Part of Bet Tzedek’s ongoing work is to advocate for small businesses, working with landlords who are increasing rents to see if they are willing to give business owners longer leases that lock in rents.

What’s next 

After READ Books posted about their situation on social media, commenters chimed in to express their outrage and love for the little shop.

While he looks for a new spot, Kaplan says he’s forming a coalition of local businesses and activist groups to see what can be done to help other small businesses facing similar displacement. He wants to address the displacement issue for businesses like his, which have made Eagle Rock the distinctive neighborhood that it is today.

Owl Talk, a longtime Eagle Rock staple selling clothing and accessories in a unit in the same building as READ Books, is facing a “more than double” rent increase, according to a post on their Instagram account.

Kaplan said he’s been in touch with the office of state Assemblywoman Jessica Caloza and wants to explore the possibility of introducing legislation to set up protections for small businesses like his, including rent-control measures or a vacancy tax for landlords. Kaplan said he also reached out to the office of state Sen. Maria Durazo.

By his count, Kaplan said there are about a dozen businesses within surrounding blocks that are at risk of closing their doors or have shuttered due to rent increases or other struggles.

When READ Books was founded during the Great Recession, Kaplan said he knew it was a longshot to open a bookstore at the same time so many were struggling to stay in business.

“It was kind of interesting to be doing something that neighborhoods needed. That was important to me growing up, that was important to my children, that was important to my wife growing up,” Kaplan said.

“And then somebody comes in and says, ‘We’re gonna over double your rent.”

Topline:

Frozen budget: Most of the city’s Bureau of Street Lighting budget comes from an assessment that people who own property illuminated by lights pay on their county property tax bill. The amount people pay depends on the kind of property they own and how much they benefit from lighting. A typical single-family home currently pays $53 annually, and in total, the assessments bring in about $45 million annually for the city to repair and maintain streetlights. Changing the amount the Bureau of Street Lighting gets from the assessment requires a vote among property owners who benefit from the lights.

Ballots: L.A. City Council’s vote gives city staff the green light to prepare and send out those ballots. Miguel Sangalang, who oversees the bureau, said at a committee meeting earlier this month that he expects to send out ballots by April 17. Notices about the ballots will be sent out prior to the ballots themselves.

Near unanimous vote: L.A. City Councilmember Monica Rodriguez was the only “No” vote Tuesday, saying she wanted to see a more current strategic plan for the bureau. Sangalang said the bureau developed a plan in 2022 that lays out how money will be spent. Councilmember Imelda Padilla was absent for the vote.

Vote count: Votes will be weighted according to the assessment amount. Basically, the more you’re asked to pay yearly to maintain streetlights, the more your vote will count. Ballots received before June 2 will be tabulated by the L.A. City Clerk.

How much more money: According to a report, the amount needed in assessments from property owners to meet the repair and maintenance needs of the city’s streetlighting in the next fiscal year is nearly $112 million.

Use of the money: Sangalang said at a March 11 committee meeting that the extra funds would be used to double the number of staff to handle repairs and procure solar streetlights, which don’t face the threat of copper wire theft. That would all potentially reduce the time it takes to repair simple fixes down to a week. Currently, city residents wait for months to see broken streetlights repaired. The assessment would come with a three-year auditing mechanism.