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Dodgers: Fun with Statistics!
One statistic I really detest in baseball is the quality start when the starting pitcher goes at least six innings while giving up three runs or less. Some people place a lot of importance in this particular statistic that really doesn’t tell the whole story. So I decided to come up with an equally detestable statistic, the “quality offense.” A quality offense is defined as a performance by the offense that generates three or more runs in the first six innings. I figure if there’s a counterbalance to the quality start it can tell a more complete story of a baseball team.
Going through the box scores of all 39 games the Dodgers have played, here is the following breakdown:
* Games with quality start: 25
* Record with quality start: 17-8
* Games with quality offense: 11
* Record with quality offense: 8-3.
Everything looks just about right. After all when the team has a quality starting pitching and good offense, chances are the team will win. However a little alarming is the eight losses when the starting pitcher gets a quality start. Breaking down the quality start figures further, we get:
* Record with quality start and quality offense: 8-0
* Record with quality start and no quality offense: 9-8.
So a little more than half the time this season the Dodger starting pitching was able to overcome the offense in the start of the game. Unfortunately the converse isn’t true. In the three instances the Dodgers got quality offense and no quality start, the Dodgers lost each time.
* Record with no quality start and quality offense: 0-3
* Record with no quality start and no quality offense: 2-9.
All this tells us a few things:
* It is an almost certainty for the Dodgers to lose if they don’t get a quality start from their starting pitcher.
* When the Dodger pitching goes south, it really goes south - the offense can’t make up for it.
And so ends “Fun with Statistics!”