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Those who are already members of the Community Emergency Response Team (CERT) should know this--"the big one" will likely be preceded by a biggish one--but it's a fact worth repeating over and over and over again. "I would expect some aftershocks with a 4.4 quake," USGS seismologist Bob Dollar tells Sciencedude Gary Robbins at the OC Register about this morning's "light" 4.4 quake at 4:04 a.m. "There’s still a 5 percent probability that we’ll have a larger event within a day, and a 10 percent probability of something in the 3.0 range within a week.” In any case, and as always, every no-big-deal earthquake should be a reminder to get prepared (here's the LAFD .pdf Handbook).