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Take Two

The tricky business of analyzing poll data

A voter places her ballot into a ballot box after voting for the midterm elections at Los Angeles County Lifeguard headquarters on November 2, 2010 in the Venice neighborhood of Los Angeles, California.
A voter places her ballot into a ballot box after voting for the midterm elections at Los Angeles County Lifeguard headquarters on November 2, 2010 in the Venice neighborhood of Los Angeles, California.
(
Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images
)

Take Two translates the day’s headlines for Southern California, making sense of the news and cultural events that affect our lives. Produced by Southern California Public Radio and broadcast from October 2012 – June 2021. Hosted by A Martinez.

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The tricky business of analyzing poll data

Today, the Washington Post calls the presidential race a contest "as close as any in recent history." NPR reported this morning on some potential nightmare outcomes, including an electoral college tie. 

Looking around at all this with a little amusement is Princeton neuro-scientist Sam Wang.  His day job is studying the cerebellum, but his hobby is analyzing poll data.

Wang publishes the Princeton Election Consortium, a blog that's popular with "poll geeks" and is now getting a lot of attention from general political junkies. And he has a great track record.

In the 2008 election, his calculation missed the actual electoral vote count by...one electoral vote.  Sam Wang joins us from Princeton.