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July 21, 2008

Another Gay Marriage Poll Comes Out

A new Field Poll on Proposition 8, which proposes to limit marriage only between a man and a woman in California, says that it will fail by a slim majority (51%). In 2000, a similar proposition denying gay marriage was approved by 61%. Yes on Prop 8 people say the poll understates the support to ban gay marriage in the state (and others are calling them out their rebuttal). A May 23 poll by the LA Times and KTLA showed that Californians would "narrowly" reject same-sex marriages. So, what does all this mean? It means that there will be no telling how this prop will turn out until after election day.

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Am I missing something here? According to the poll, Prop 8 is supported by only 42% of likely voters. (A fact, very oddly, not indicated in the piece, which would leave you thinking it was supported by 49%,) Therefore, it's not "failing by a slim majority," it's behind by a fairly wallopping 8%. Even if the undecideds divided evenly, it would still lose by a not-slim 5%. Get it now? The glass isn't 51% full, it's 58% empty. Cheesh,

 
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