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March 27, 2008

Will the Clinton Campaign Bring Down the Democratic Party?

clinton080327.jpg
Photo by Angela Radulescu via flickr.

"Somebody forgot to tell Hillary Clinton the Democratic presidential race is over and Barack Obama won."

So began Reuters political correspondent John Whitesides' analysis of the presidential campaign this morning.

Ever since Super Tuesday, when Obama won the majority of states but lost key states like New York, California, and New Jersey, it's seemed as if no political doublespeak or even MSM pandering could stem the Obama tide. Even "progressive" California, in which Clinton virtually swept the Southland and ceded only 3 of Los Angeles County's 18 districts to Obama, didn't work out so well for Clinton in the grand scheme of things. And, wouldn't you know, turns out Clinton didn't even win Texas, as originally claimed.

The Clinton's want the 90's back so badly that they are apparently enlisting the villainous, knee-shattering tactics of Tonya Harding, as ABC's Jake Tapper discovered.

The polls (meaningless as they may be) indicate that Clinton's continued attack on Obama regarding statements made by his pastor, Rev. Jeremiah Wright have served to hurt her campaign more than his. Clinton received a bounce in the polls a couple weeks ago after the mashup of controversial statements by Rev. Wright were repeated as 30-second soundbytes seemingly nonstop on the 24-hour news networks. But it has been all but erased.

As this campaign drags on for way-too-long, the Democratic party is at a serious disadvantage. While the MSM seems to love playing as if there is still a legitimate contest underway for the Democratic candidacy, as the bickering continues, anything "democrat" only becomes more annoying to the public. Not to mention, there will be less time to kiss, make up, AND expose the utter unelectability (not to mention controversiality) of Sen. John McCain before the November 4 election.

But a Gallup survey published yesterday revealed that nearly 30 percent of Clinton supporters would vote for McCain should Obama be the Democratic nominee. Similarly disturbing, nearly 20 percent of Obama supporters said they would defect from the party too. Likely even more would elect to sit on the sidelines alltogether or vote for a late-entering 3rd-party candidate.

20080326democrats1.gif

The fact of the matter is that it is virtually impossible for Hillary Clinton to win the majority of pledged delegates (if she wins 60% of the vote in each remaining primary, she still loses by a couple dozen delegates) and even Clinton's own super-deleagates, such as Nancy Pelosi, are determined to not rock the boat of public opinion.

But when will it end? And how will the Democrats rebuild the momentum to defeat McCain?


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Comments (8)

You can't put too much weight in that Gallup survey since Nov is still 7 months away. If you look at the Gallup polls from 7 months ago they all showed that Hillary and Rudy were going to have it all sewn up by now.


As for the Texas results, they're actually not final yet, since the caucus results have not had 100% reported yet.

http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/states/TX.html


p.s.
hopefully this book just released by Media Matters will gain some attention:

Free Ride: John McCain and the Media

http://amazon.com/Free-Ride-John-McCain-Media/dp/0307279405

http://youtube.com/watch?v=AqoZfS1GsXg

 

Well, I'd call the Hillary people traitors, but I have to say that after her Bosnia "slip up," and lamely saying, "we all make mistakes," I intend to vote for McCain if she wins the nomination, which I highly doubt.

The fact that her supporters were spinning for her before she acknowledged the mistake indicates she has some of the lamest sycophants on the planet.

 

Why vote for McCain out of some sort of protest? Talk about traitors... McCain practically redefines the term.

 

Democrats seem to be there own biggest enemies. I'm not a fan of Republicans but why can't there be the unity they seem have with the Democrats.

 

I'll vote for who ever get the Dem nom.

4-8 more years of Republicanisim?

I don't think so.

That said, I hope Obama get the nom.

 

Yeah, how do you go from Hill or Obama to Mccain? I dont get that.

 

I think we are going to see a rarity in American Politics, a genuine three or even four way contest for the Presidency. A lot of Clinton supporters are so fanatical, they just don't see how much she is hated. For all her "moderate" credentials, she would be as divisive as Bush, only in the exact opposite direction politically. At the same time, her die-hard supporters see some sort of inevitability or predestination in a President Hillary Clinton, so much so that they would support her in an independent bid. Additionally, if either Obama or Clinton are pushed aside by a floor-fight at the convention, denying one of them both the Presidential and Vice-Presidential nominations, the party will be split.

McCain is a whole 'nuther mess. He has reversed his position on torture at least once, and his opposition to Bush was one of his biggest assets over the years. My guess is that unless Huckabee is the VP nominee, the Republicans will face a shortage of votes in November, loosing much of the South as it shifts support to Obama, but not Hillary.

Lastly, there deserves mention of one more man: billionaire Mayor Michael Bloomberg of New York City. Last last year he renounced his affiliation with the Republican Party. Personally, he is waiting to see how the field looks later in the summer, when state ballot deadlines for running for President come due.

 

Torture isn't the only thing McCain has flip flopped on. He's in violation of a campaign finance reform bill he helped author.

I just got this e-mail from firedoglake.com. Sign the petition and follow the links to the video.

Dear jrb,

John McCain is breaking the law.

When McCain's presidential campaign was in trouble, he opted-in to public financing through the primary, limiting him to a $54 million spending cap.

But laws aren't for "mavericks"...

McCain's latest spending report, filed by his own campaign, shows he has spent in excess of $58 million so far -- a public admission by his own hand that he has broken the law.

We filed a formal complaint to Federal Election Commission yesterday, and we want you to sign-on for a second delivery of signatures later this week.

Please read and co-sign the letter to the FEC right now.

http://action.firedoglake.com/mccainfec

 
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