March 11, 2008
LAist Political Notebook: Will Spitzer Hurt the Democrats?
As the country waits to see what the future holds for crusader turned illicit copulater Eliot Spitzer, it is worth examining what impact his prostitute predilection might have on the Democratic Party.
Spitzer, the once immensely popular governor of New York that swept into office with 70 percent of the vote, was an early and avid supporter of Hillary Clinton. He is a Clinton superdelegate and helped solidify the support she enjoys in the state during the Feb. 5 Primary. While it was more symbiotic than anything else, his support for Clinton should not be overstated.
Clinton won her home state by nearly 20 percent more than eight years after she took the Senate seat by 12 points. At the time, she enjoyed a broad base of support from New York City and, more importantly, upstate New York, encompassing the state capital Albany, where Spitzer has lived for the last year. While she appreciated his support, she did not need it and will not be hurt by the absence of it, especially given that his popular opinion is mired in a 30 percent hole.
If Spitzer resigns, she would lose him as a superdelegate. However, the governor would be replaced by the next in line, Lt. Governor, David Paterson, someone who is already a superdelegate and a Clinton endorser (and legally blind). Though it may not decrease her superdelegate lead, per se (at the moment, she has 245 to Barack Obama's 207), the overall pool of superdelegates free to support either candidate could be reduced by one, to 794.
Given that Spitzer's indiscretion was not a symbolic showcase of endemic Democratic sexual debasement (or any other kind of systemic immorality for that matter), his fall from grace will probably not hurt the party to which he claimed affiliation.
What do Democrats do if Republicans start calling foul and for a return of "traditional Republican values"? They come back with messers Craig, Foley and Haggard and point to McCain's fabled temper.
But it might not even get to that point given that before this incident, Spitzer was not a national Democratic figure. He was popular (sort of) and well known for fighting the good fight, but he was never a national Democratic player. It was said that his eyes were big (as was his wallet, apparently) and that he was eyeing a possible presidential run in the future. In as much as he may have been laying the groundwork, the 48-year-old governor did not have too much of a role in the national party and relatively no affiliation (officially, at least) with Obama or McCain.
Also, in as much as this appears to be an isolated case of a horny rich man paying for the services of a high class prostitute - something Harvard Law Professor (and Spitzer's former teacher) Alan Dershowitz called a "victimless crime" - the damage and resulting fallout seems easily containable.
All candidates reacted to the news yesterday with the same of sort of bewilderment that characterized the feelings of many who heard the news: what the fuck?
Clinton said she will "wait and see" before issuing a further statement, Obama declined to offer an opinion as he was still finding out what was going and McCain said, “I don’t know what to make of it.’’
As Spitzer weighs a possible resignation, Democrats continue to fight the good fight in your favorite state to spell: Mississippi, where the candidates are vying for 33 delegates in today's primary. Mostly due to its large black population, Obama is favored to take the contest, but a win now for either candidate hinges not on whether they claim a W but by how big that W turns out to be.
By capturing a majority of delegates, Obama might not put Clinton away for good, but he could send a message to the voters of upcoming contests in Pennsylvania, Florida and Michigan that he is the man for the job. If not, Denver awaits.
Campaign Buttons, by JSF539 via Flickr



My question is;
Since the original source was from a federal wire tap, was the escort service being investigated as a terrorist organization?
Al Queda call girls anyone?
I feel so much safer, knowing the government is keeping us all safe from illicit sex.
"Democrats continue to fight the good fight in your favorite state to spell: Mississippi"
Actually just Obama.
Hillary decided "Nah, I think I'll leave Mississippi a couple days before the primary. I only care about states with huge delegate counts."
Apparently, the feds started investigating Spitzer because of suspicious money transfers which agents originally thought were bribes the gov was trying to hide. It was only then that they found out he was using that money for the pros. Interestingly, this had nothing to do with prostitution in the beginning.
I wouldn't say this shakedown had nothing to do with prostitution -- if it weren't for his shady dealings with QAT/Emperor's Club, he may not have had any reason to attempt to obscure the transactions.
But yes, it does appear that this whole prostitution ring bust began after the IRS and alerted the FBI's Public Corruption Squad of possible "structuring" to obscure what originally were thought to be bribes involving Spitzer (ABC).
But you've gotta wonder if his bank went to HIM before going to the IRS complaining of suspicious activities -- isn't that usually what banks do? Perhaps he just denied.
I was just saying that the feds were on to him because he was trying to hide his money, not because of prostitution. They, of course, found out what why he was hiding his money, but that did not come out until after. 'This' was modifying the investigation by the feds, not Spitzer's deal. I'm sticking by my 'nothing' Sternberg!
Also, I'm thinking that banks only go to you if they think someone else is up to some hanky panky with your account, not if you are the person doing the panky.
How would the bank know whether it's you or someone fraudulently posing as you though? I ask this because I read quite the defense on this blog but I think the easy answer is that they probably did go to Governor "John" first and since he answered sketchily about weird activity on the account that he went on to teh feds. who knows.